Ingolstadt 1-1 Energie Cottbus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 20 Dec 2024

Ingolstadt
1-1 HT 0-1
Energie Cottbus
📅20/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Ingolstadt vs Energie Cottbus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.5
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
29%
2.7
6+ Goals
11%
6.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.72
1/2
5%
29.0
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
11%
5.06
X/2 EV+ ✗
17%
7.23
X/X
10%
6.08
2/1
6%
21.45
2/2
11%
4.45
2/X
7%
13.25
Value flag · X/2 at 7.23 — our 17% vs market 10.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.7pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ingolstadt v Energie Cottbus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.29/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.57
+12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
339 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
20.1 Crosses 22.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.2

Ingolstadt vs Energie Cottbus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ingolstadt
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Energie Cottbus
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
315 Passes 344
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
The Meetings
11.05.2014 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-0 HT 1-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2
08.12.2013 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-2 HT 1-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2
09.12.2012 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-1 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2
03.08.2012 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-2 HT 2-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2
29.04.2012 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-0 HT 0-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2
27.11.2011 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 0-0 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2

Ingolstadt 1-1 Energie Cottbus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
1-1
AWAY Energie Cottbus
40% Ball Possession 60%
19 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
209 Passes 388
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ingolstadt vs Energie Cottbus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ingolstadt and Energie Cottbus couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Ingolstadt had 40% of the ball to Energie Cottbus's 60%, shots finished 19-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ingolstadt had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ingolstadt and 0.67 for Energie Cottbus.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt vs Energie Cottbus?

Ingolstadt 1-1 Energie Cottbus in the Germany - 3rd Division on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt vs Energie Cottbus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 40%, draw 26%, Energie Cottbus 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ingolstadt), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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