Eyüpspor 1-1 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 20 Dec 2024

📅20/12/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
47%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.78
6+ Goals
10%
7.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.48 — our 28% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
8.19
1/2
6%
19.25
1/X
8%
16.45
X/1
7%
11.35
X/2
16%
3.97
X/X
11%
6.42
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
25%
1.95
2/X
7%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+8.1pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
47%
Away Win
59%
-12.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.5
Crosses 20.2
Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eyüpspor
1-1
AWAY Fenerbahçe
1.34 xG 1.38
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 9
232 Passes 332
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 36
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Eyüpspor vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eyüpspor and Fenerbahçe shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Fenerbahçe at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Eyüpspor had 42% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 58%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.34 to 1.38.

What was the final score of Eyüpspor vs Fenerbahçe?

Eyüpspor 1-1 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Super League on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eyüpspor vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Eyüpspor 27%, draw 26%, Fenerbahçe 47%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✗ BTTS No
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