Carroi 3-1 Ordino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
4.71
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
65%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
45%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
18%
-4.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
65%
Away Win
58%
+6.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carroi EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Ordino EU Bookmakers 62%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.12/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.88
-92% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -24%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
183 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carroi
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Ordino
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2025 Ordino Ordino 3-1 HT 1-0 Carroi AND
18.02.2024 Carroi 0-2 HT 0-1 Ordino Ordino AND
08.10.2023 Ordino Ordino 4-0 HT 2-0 Carroi AND
21.05.2022 Carroi 1-1 HT 1-0 Ordino Ordino AND
01.05.2022 Ordino Ordino 2-2 HT 2-0 Carroi AND
20.02.2022 Carroi 0-1 HT 0-0 Ordino Ordino AND
POST-MATCH Carroi vs Ordino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carroi got the better of Ordino 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ordino at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ordino led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Carroi and 2.17 for Ordino.

What was the final score of Carroi vs Ordino?

Carroi 3-1 Ordino in the Andorra - 1st Division on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carroi vs Ordino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ordino win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Carroi 13%, draw 22%, Ordino 65%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ordino), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ordino) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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