Montpellier (K) 0-3 Marsilya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 20 Dec 2025

Montpellier (K)
0-3 HT 0-2
Marsilya (K)
📅20/12/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2025/2026

Montpellier (K) vs Marsilya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.3pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.9pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.5pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montpellier (K) v Marsilya (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsilya (K) EU Bookmakers 31%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.34/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.49
+31% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -57%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
22.4 Crosses 7.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Montpellier (K) 0-3 Marsilya (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier (K)
0-3
AWAY Marsilya (K)
0.59 xG 1.64
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 18
0 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 5
220 Passes 287
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
9 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Montpellier (K) vs Marsilya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsilya (K) cruised past Montpellier (K) 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Montpellier (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Montpellier (K) had 44% of the ball to Marsilya (K)'s 56%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.59 to 1.64.

What was the final score of Montpellier (K) vs Marsilya (K)?

Montpellier (K) 0-3 Marsilya (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier (K) vs Marsilya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montpellier (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Montpellier (K) 43%, draw 33%, Marsilya (K) 25%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Montpellier (K)), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montpellier (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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