KCB Nairobi 1-3 Shabana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 20 Dec 2025

KCB Nairobi
1-3 HT 0-2
Shabana
📅20/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2025/2026

KCB Nairobi vs Shabana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.7
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
34%
-4.8pp
38%
Away Win
29%
+9.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+4.0pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KCB Nairobi v Shabana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KCB Nairobi EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabana EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.05/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.86
+22% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

KCB Nairobi vs Shabana Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KCB Nairobi
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Shabana
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
09.05.2025 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi 0-1 HT 0-0 Shabana Shabana KEN
15.12.2024 Shabana Shabana 2-0 HT 1-0 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi KEN
POST-MATCH KCB Nairobi vs Shabana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabana saw off KCB Nairobi 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Shabana found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Shabana led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for KCB Nairobi and 1.50 for Shabana.

What was the final score of KCB Nairobi vs Shabana?

KCB Nairobi 1-3 Shabana in the Kenya - Premier League on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KCB Nairobi vs Shabana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shabana win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split KCB Nairobi 33%, draw 29%, Shabana 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shabana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shabana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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