Floriana 2-1 Sliema Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sliema Wanderers EU Bookmakers 38%
+11% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.28/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.82
+28% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floriana
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sliema Wanderers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2025 Floriana Floriana 2-2 HT 1-1 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
09.05.2025 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 0-4 HT 0-1 Floriana Floriana MLTP
06.04.2025 Floriana Floriana 0-2 HT 0-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MALTP
22.02.2025 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-1 Floriana Floriana MALTP
17.12.2024 Floriana Floriana 1-0 HT 1-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
01.11.2024 Floriana Floriana 0-0 HT 0-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana squeezed past Sliema Wanderers 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Floriana made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Floriana had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Floriana and 0.83 for Sliema Wanderers.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers?

Floriana 2-1 Sliema Wanderers in the Malta - Premier League on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Floriana 35%, draw 29%, Sliema Wanderers 35%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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