EDF Logrono (K) 1-0 Cacereno (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Women's Primera Federasyon League, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
33%
4-5
27%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
3%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
47%
+2.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EDF Logrono (K) The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacereno (K) The Market 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH EDF Logrono (K) vs Cacereno (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EDF Logrono (K) nicked a narrow win over Cacereno (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had EDF Logrono (K) as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of EDF Logrono (K) vs Cacereno (K)?

EDF Logrono (K) 1-0 Cacereno (K) in the Spain - Women's Primera Federasyon League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EDF Logrono (K) vs Cacereno (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a EDF Logrono (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split EDF Logrono (K) 50%, draw 28%, Cacereno (K) 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (EDF Logrono (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (EDF Logrono (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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