Chelsea (K) 3-1 Manchester United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 21 Jan 2024

Chelsea (K)
3-1 HT 2-1
Manchester United (K)
📅21/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2023/2024

Chelsea (K) vs Manchester United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
39%
3.04
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
27%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.0pp
39%
Draw
30%
+9.4pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chelsea (K) v Manchester United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Chelsea (K) vs Manchester United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Manchester United (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.47 xG 0.42
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
306 Passes 262
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.11.2019 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL

Chelsea (K) 3-1 Manchester United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea (K)
3-1
AWAY Manchester United (K)
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Chelsea (K) vs Manchester United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea (K) beat Manchester United (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 39% / 29% — and on the day Chelsea (K) made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chelsea (K) had 56% of the ball to Manchester United (K)'s 44%, shots finished 16-8.

What was the final score of Chelsea (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Chelsea (K) 3-1 Manchester United (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chelsea (K) 32%, draw 39%, Manchester United (K) 29%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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