Bournemouth 0-4 Liverpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 21 Jan 2024

Bournemouth
0-4 HT 0-0
Liverpool
📅21/01/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
43%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.61
Over 2.5
48%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
5.97
2-3 Goals
38%
2.06
4-5 Goals
22%
2.59
6+ Goals
11%
5.87
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.97 — our 29% vs market 12.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.56
1/2
8%
19.45
1/X
9%
13.85
X/1
14%
8.82
X/2
12%
4.48
X/X
8%
6.46
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
23%
2.21
2/X
8%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.5pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
43%
Away Win
54%
-11.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
35%
+16.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
65%
-16.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.5pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bournemouth v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool EU Bookmakers 58%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.30/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.26
-11% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -16%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 82%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.9
17.0 Crosses 19.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

Bournemouth vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bournemouth
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Liverpool
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.83 xG 2.32
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
196 Passes 582
68% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 37
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.11.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-2 HT 0-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNLK
19.08.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 3-1 HT 2-1 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
11.03.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
27.08.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 9-0 HT 5-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
07.03.2020 Liverpool Liverpool 2-1 HT 2-1 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
07.12.2019 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0-3 HT 0-2 Liverpool Liverpool İNP

Bournemouth 0-4 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bournemouth
0-4
AWAY Liverpool
1.37 xG 1.57
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
235 Passes 439
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
31 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bournemouth vs Liverpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool cruised past Bournemouth 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Bournemouth had 39% of the ball to Liverpool's 61%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.37 to 1.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bournemouth and 3.17 for Liverpool.

What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Liverpool?

Bournemouth 0-4 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Liverpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 31%, draw 26%, Liverpool 43%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
21 Jan 2024
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