Caravaggio 0-0 Legnano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
22%
4.81
Away Pick
58%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
42%
4-5
24%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
14%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Legnano win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
20%
Home Win
15%
+4.2pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.0pp
58%
Away Win
67%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caravaggio The Market 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Legnano The Market 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +0%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 479 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Caravaggio vs Legnano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caravaggio and Legnano fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Legnano at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Caravaggio vs Legnano?

Caravaggio 0-0 Legnano in the Italy - Serie D on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caravaggio vs Legnano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Legnano win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Caravaggio 20%, draw 23%, Legnano 58%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Legnano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Legnano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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