Dolomiti Bellunesi 1-1 Mori Santo Stefano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.11
Draw
22%
7.78
Away
21%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No Pick
58%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
38%
4-5
26%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
57%
Home Win
85%
-27.6pp
22%
Draw
10%
+11.9pp
21%
Away Win
5%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dolomiti Bellunesi The Market 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Mori Santo Stefano The Market 8%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
516 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 203 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Mori Santo Stefano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dolomiti Bellunesi and Mori Santo Stefano shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dolomiti Bellunesi at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Mori Santo Stefano?

Dolomiti Bellunesi 1-1 Mori Santo Stefano in the Italy - Serie D on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Mori Santo Stefano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dolomiti Bellunesi win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Dolomiti Bellunesi 57%, draw 22%, Mori Santo Stefano 21%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dolomiti Bellunesi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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