Fiorentina (K) 3-1 Pomigliano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.16
Draw
16%
7.13
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
82%
-15.1pp
16%
Draw
11%
+5.1pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.2pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Pomigliano (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -71%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
483 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
Crosses 6.0
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Pomigliano (K)
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
15.10.2023 Pomigliano (K) 1-4 HT 0-2 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina (K)
3-1
AWAY Pomigliano (K)
2.21 xG 1.55
62% Ball Possession 38%
23 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
351 Passes 184
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
47 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fiorentina (K) vs Pomigliano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina (K) saw off Pomigliano (K) 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fiorentina (K) as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fiorentina (K) had 62% of the ball to Pomigliano (K)'s 38%, shots finished 23-12, expected goals 2.21 to 1.55.

What was the final score of Fiorentina (K) vs Pomigliano (K)?

Fiorentina (K) 3-1 Pomigliano (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina (K) vs Pomigliano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina (K) 67%, draw 16%, Pomigliano (K) 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
21 Jan 2024
17:00 Sassuolo (K) vs Juventus (K) Analysis →