Eibar (K) 1-0 Valencia (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.7pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.2pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar (K) EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Valencia (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar (K)
1-0
AWAY Valencia (K)
1.45 xG 1.30
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
180 Passes 373
63% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Eibar (K) vs Valencia (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar (K) edged past Valencia (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Eibar (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Eibar (K) had 37% of the ball to Valencia (K)'s 63%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.45 to 1.30.

What was the final score of Eibar (K) vs Valencia (K)?

Eibar (K) 1-0 Valencia (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar (K) vs Valencia (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Eibar (K) 33%, draw 33%, Valencia (K) 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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