21/01/2024
·
16:05
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Dubai United vs Masafi Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
30%
Draw
25%
34%
Away Win
34%
48%
Under 2.5
41%
52%
Over 2.5
59%
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
46%
BTTS No
39%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dubai United v Masafi — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Dubai United
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Masafi
EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% /
-6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-9% /
-9%
1.49/1.01
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.24/1.56
+8%
/
+27%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-14%
/
-16%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
326 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
290 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Dubai United vs Masafi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Dubai United squeezed past Masafi 1-0.
Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Dubai United found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
What was the final score of Dubai United vs Masafi?
Dubai United 1-0 Masafi in the UAE - 1st Division on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dubai United vs Masafi?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dubai United win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Dubai United 35%, draw 30%, Masafi 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dubai United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Dubai United)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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21 Jan 2024