SV Zulte Waregem 1-1 KRC Genk II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.46
Over 2.5
57%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.38
No
48%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
7.47
2-3 Goals
38%
2.22
4-5 Goals
27%
2.33
6+ Goals
12%
4.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.5pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
25%
+17.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
75%
-17.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.5pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+16.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Zulte Waregem EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 28%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.80/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.49
-45% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
33.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
28.3 Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Zulte Waregem
1W-0D-0L
AWAY KRC Genk II
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.88 xG 2.12
60% Ball Possession 40%
23 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
344 Passes 205
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
53 Box Touches 22
39 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 2-4 HT 2-1 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Zulte Waregem
1-1
AWAY KRC Genk II
0.99 xG 1.43
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
259 Passes 206
68% Pass Accuracy 62%
28 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SV Zulte Waregem vs KRC Genk II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Zulte Waregem and KRC Genk II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was SV Zulte Waregem at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SV Zulte Waregem had 54% of the ball to KRC Genk II's 46%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.99 to 1.43.

What was the final score of SV Zulte Waregem vs KRC Genk II?

SV Zulte Waregem 1-1 KRC Genk II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Zulte Waregem vs KRC Genk II?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Zulte Waregem win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split SV Zulte Waregem 47%, draw 21%, KRC Genk II 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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