EC Sao Jose 1-1 Sao Luiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Gaucho 1, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.75
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
40%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
42%
4-5
19%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
23%
+13.8pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.5pp
40%
Away Win
56%
-16.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EC Sao Jose The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Luiz The Market 61%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+34% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
248 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EC Sao Jose
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sao Luiz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.98 xG 1.69
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
320 Passes 302
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
7 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2023 EC Sao Jose EC Sao Jose 1-0 HT 0-0 Sao Luiz Sao Luiz BRG1
26.02.2022 Sao Luiz Sao Luiz 0-3 HT 0-1 EC Sao Jose EC Sao Jose BRG1
05.04.2021 EC Sao Jose EC Sao Jose 1-0 HT 0-0 Sao Luiz Sao Luiz BRG1
24.07.2020 Sao Luiz Sao Luiz 1-0 HT 0-0 EC Sao Jose EC Sao Jose BRG1
28.03.2019 Sao Luiz Sao Luiz 2-1 HT 0-1 EC Sao Jose EC Sao Jose BRG1
24.03.2019 EC Sao Jose EC Sao Jose 0-0 HT 0-0 Sao Luiz Sao Luiz BRG1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME EC Sao Jose
1-1
AWAY Sao Luiz
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
POST-MATCH EC Sao Jose vs Sao Luiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EC Sao Jose and Sao Luiz shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, EC Sao Jose had 57% of the ball to Sao Luiz's 43%, shots finished 14-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, EC Sao Jose had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for EC Sao Jose and 0.50 for Sao Luiz.

What was the final score of EC Sao Jose vs Sao Luiz?

EC Sao Jose 1-1 Sao Luiz in the Brazil - Gaucho 1 on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EC Sao Jose vs Sao Luiz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sao Luiz win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split EC Sao Jose 37%, draw 23%, Sao Luiz 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sao Luiz), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sao Luiz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →