Araguaia vs Academia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Araguaia v Academia — Team-Based Signals
Araguaia 1-0 Academia — Actual Match Statistics
Araguaia nicked a narrow win over Academia 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Araguaia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Araguaia had 36% of the ball to Academia's 64%, shots finished 6-13.
What was the final score of Araguaia vs Academia?
Araguaia 1-0 Academia in the Brazil - Matogrossense on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Araguaia vs Academia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Araguaia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Araguaia 47%, draw 29%, Academia 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Araguaia), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.