Cori-Sabba 1-2 Fluminense PI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Piauiense, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
32%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
52%
4-5
20%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
68%
-25.0pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.2pp
32%
Away Win
14%
+17.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cori-Sabba The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Fluminense PI The Market 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / +133%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
543 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cori-Sabba
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Fluminense PI
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
25.02.2023 Cori-Sabba Cori-Sabba 1-2 HT 1-1 Fluminense PI Fluminense PI BRPI
14.01.2023 Fluminense PI Fluminense PI 2-1 HT 1-0 Cori-Sabba Cori-Sabba BRPI
04.03.2022 Fluminense PI Fluminense PI 1-0 HT 0-0 Cori-Sabba Cori-Sabba BRPI
23.01.2022 Cori-Sabba Cori-Sabba 0-2 HT 0-0 Fluminense PI Fluminense PI BRPI
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cori-Sabba
1-2
AWAY Fluminense PI
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 12
POST-MATCH Cori-Sabba vs Fluminense PI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fluminense PI squeezed past Cori-Sabba 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cori-Sabba at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cori-Sabba had 49% of the ball to Fluminense PI's 51%, shots finished 12-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fluminense PI led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cori-Sabba and 1.75 for Fluminense PI.

What was the final score of Cori-Sabba vs Fluminense PI?

Cori-Sabba 1-2 Fluminense PI in the Brazil - Piauiense on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cori-Sabba vs Fluminense PI?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cori-Sabba win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cori-Sabba 43%, draw 25%, Fluminense PI 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cori-Sabba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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