Baraunas 1-2 Potiguar Mossoro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Potiguar, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
34%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
26%
+9.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.7pp
34%
Away Win
47%
-12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baraunas EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Potiguar Mossoro EU Bookmakers 51%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.29
+103% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -32%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
331 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
POST-MATCH Baraunas vs Potiguar Mossoro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Potiguar Mossoro edged past Baraunas 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Potiguar Mossoro found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Baraunas vs Potiguar Mossoro?

Baraunas 1-2 Potiguar Mossoro in the Brazil - Potiguar on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baraunas vs Potiguar Mossoro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baraunas win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Baraunas 35%, draw 30%, Potiguar Mossoro 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Baraunas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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