21/01/2024
·
23:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Dourados Atlético vs Corumbaense Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
49%
4-5
17%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
32%
Home Win
37%
34%
Draw
29%
34%
Away Win
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dourados Atlético v Corumbaense — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Dourados Atlético
The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY
Corumbaense
The Market 37%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-100%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
301 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
332 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Dourados Atlético vs Corumbaense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Dourados Atlético swept aside Corumbaense 3-0.
Our pre-match split (32% / 34% / 34%) promised a tight game; Dourados Atlético found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Dourados Atlético vs Corumbaense?
Dourados Atlético 3-0 Corumbaense in the Brazil - Sul-Matogrossense on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dourados Atlético vs Corumbaense?
Before kick-off our model rated an Corumbaense win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Dourados Atlético 32%, draw 34%, Corumbaense 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (32/34/34)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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BRSMAT
More Brazil - Sul-Matogrossense
21 Jan 2024