21/01/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Flambeau du Centre vs Moso Sugar Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
43%
35%
Draw
29%
31%
Away Win
27%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Flambeau du Centre v Moso Sugar — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Flambeau du Centre
EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY
Moso Sugar
EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
3
322 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
346 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Flambeau du Centre vs Moso Sugar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Flambeau du Centre edged past Moso Sugar 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 35% / 31% — and on the day Flambeau du Centre made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
What was the final score of Flambeau du Centre vs Moso Sugar?
Flambeau du Centre 1-0 Moso Sugar in the Burundi - League A on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Flambeau du Centre vs Moso Sugar?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Flambeau du Centre 34%, draw 35%, Moso Sugar 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Draw)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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BUR
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21 Jan 2024