21/01/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Vitalo FC vs Kayanza United Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
34%
Draw
30%
28%
Away Win
31%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitalo FC v Kayanza United — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Vitalo FC
EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kayanza United
EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-50% /
-50%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-50%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
332 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
344 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Vitalo FC vs Kayanza United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Vitalo FC
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Kayanza United
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
26.11.2023
Kayanza United
0-0
HT 0-0
Vitalo FC
BUR
0-0
HT 0-0
Vitalo FC
BUR
POST-MATCH
Vitalo FC vs Kayanza United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Vitalo FC saw off Kayanza United 2-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 34% / 28%) promised a tight game; Vitalo FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Vitalo FC vs Kayanza United?
Vitalo FC 2-0 Kayanza United in the Burundi - League A on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitalo FC vs Kayanza United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitalo FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vitalo FC 38%, draw 34%, Kayanza United 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitalo FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Vitalo FC)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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BUR
More Burundi - League A
21 Jan 2024