21/01/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Banjul vs Marimoo Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
40%
4-5
15%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
35%
Home Win
31%
24%
Draw
25%
41%
Away Win
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Banjul v Marimoo — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Banjul
The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY
Marimoo
The Market 48%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-56% /
-56%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-66%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
6
349 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
363 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Banjul vs Marimoo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Banjul nicked a narrow win over Marimoo 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Marimoo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Banjul vs Marimoo?
Banjul 1-0 Marimoo in the Gambiya - GFA League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Banjul vs Marimoo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Marimoo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Banjul 35%, draw 24%, Marimoo 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Marimoo) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Marimoo)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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