Cuilapa vs Heredia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cuilapa v Heredia — Team-Based Signals
Cuilapa 0-1 Heredia — Actual Match Statistics
Heredia squeezed past Cuilapa 1-0 away from home.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Cuilapa at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Cuilapa had 55% of the ball to Heredia's 45%, shots finished 12-11.
What was the final score of Cuilapa vs Heredia?
Cuilapa 0-1 Heredia in the Guatemela - Premier League Apertura on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cuilapa vs Heredia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cuilapa win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Cuilapa 63%, draw 17%, Heredia 20%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.