21/01/2024
·
21:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Peten vs Fraijanes Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
42%
4-5
16%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
38%
Home Win
32%
26%
Draw
25%
36%
Away Win
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Peten v Fraijanes — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Peten
The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY
Fraijanes
The Market 48%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
6
364 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
355 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Peten vs Fraijanes Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Peten
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Fraijanes
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
46%
Ball Possession
54%
8
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
1
2
Corners
3
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Peten vs Fraijanes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Peten got the better of Fraijanes 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Peten made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
What was the final score of Peten vs Fraijanes?
Peten 2-0 Fraijanes in the Guatemela - Premier League Apertura on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Peten vs Fraijanes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Peten win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Peten 38%, draw 26%, Fraijanes 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peten), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Peten)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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GUAP
More Guatemela - Premier League Apertura
21 Jan 2024