Mumbai City 1-0 Chennaiyin FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super Cup, 21 Jan 2024

Mumbai City
1-0 HT 2-0
Chennaiyin FC
📅21/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
India - Super Cup – 2024

Mumbai City vs Chennaiyin FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
36%
3.45
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.6
No
36%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.81
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
3.02
6+ Goals
10%
9.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
22%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.8pp
36%
Draw
25%
+10.7pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-6.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.5pp
64%
BTTS Yes
58%
+5.2pp
36%
BTTS No
42%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mumbai City v Chennaiyin FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mumbai City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Chennaiyin FC EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Mumbai City vs Chennaiyin FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mumbai City
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Chennaiyin FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.35 xG 0.77
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
405 Passes 209
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.04.2023 Mumbai City Mumbai City 1-0 HT 1-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HINSK
24.12.2022 Mumbai City Mumbai City 2-1 HT 1-1 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
12.11.2022 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 2-6 HT 2-2 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
06.02.2022 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
15.12.2021 Mumbai City Mumbai City 1-0 HT 0-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
25.01.2021 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
POST-MATCH Mumbai City vs Chennaiyin FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mumbai City nicked a narrow win over Chennaiyin FC 1-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 36% / 31%) promised a tight game; Mumbai City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mumbai City had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mumbai City and 0.67 for Chennaiyin FC.

What was the final score of Mumbai City vs Chennaiyin FC?

Mumbai City 1-0 Chennaiyin FC in the India - Super Cup on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mumbai City vs Chennaiyin FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Mumbai City 33%, draw 36%, Chennaiyin FC 31%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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