ADO 20 1-5 Jong Sparta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 21 Jan 2024

ADO 20
1-5 HT 0-4
Jong Sparta
📅21/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Tweede Divisie – 2023/2024

ADO 20 vs Jong Sparta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+6.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ADO 20 v Jong Sparta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO 20 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 45%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-23% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

ADO 20 vs Jong Sparta Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO 20
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Jong Sparta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 7
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 0-1 HT 0-0 ADO 20 ADO 20 HOLTW

ADO 20 1-5 Jong Sparta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO 20
1-5
AWAY Jong Sparta
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH ADO 20 vs Jong Sparta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Sparta swept aside ADO 20 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; Jong Sparta found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, ADO 20 had 51% of the ball to Jong Sparta's 49%, shots finished 10-21.

What was the final score of ADO 20 vs Jong Sparta?

ADO 20 1-5 Jong Sparta in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO 20 vs Jong Sparta?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO 20 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split ADO 20 41%, draw 23%, Jong Sparta 36%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ADO 20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ADO 20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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