21/01/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Zurrieq vs Msida St. Joseph Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
73%
25%
Draw
16%
18%
Away Win
10%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zurrieq v Msida St. Joseph — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Zurrieq
EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY
Msida St. Joseph
EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
56%
Ball Possession
44%
14
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
2
505 · 86%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
248 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Zurrieq vs Msida St. Joseph
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Zurrieq edged past Msida St. Joseph 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zurrieq as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.
What was the final score of Zurrieq vs Msida St. Joseph?
Zurrieq 1-0 Msida St. Joseph in the Malta - 1st Division on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zurrieq vs Msida St. Joseph?
Before kick-off our model rated a Zurrieq win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Zurrieq 57%, draw 25%, Msida St. Joseph 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zurrieq), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Zurrieq)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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More Malta - 1st Division
21 Jan 2024