Kano Pillars 2-1 Heartland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.18
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
22%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
80%
-19.6pp
18%
Draw
14%
+3.7pp
22%
Away Win
6%
+15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kano Pillars EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Heartland EU Bookmakers 8%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.18/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.96
-36% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -19%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
490 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 185 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kano Pillars
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Heartland
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
29.01.2022 Heartland Heartland 0-1 HT 0-0 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars NIJ
28.03.2021 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars 2-1 HT 1-1 Heartland Heartland NIJ
POST-MATCH Kano Pillars vs Heartland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kano Pillars edged past Heartland 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kano Pillars as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kano Pillars had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kano Pillars and 0.50 for Heartland.

What was the final score of Kano Pillars vs Heartland?

Kano Pillars 2-1 Heartland in the Nigeria NPFL on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kano Pillars vs Heartland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kano Pillars win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kano Pillars 60%, draw 18%, Heartland 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kano Pillars) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kano Pillars) ✗ BTTS No
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