Porto U19 4-3 Vizela U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Youth U19, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.72
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
32%
Over Pick
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1
14%
2-3
40%
4-5
29%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
15%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
56%
Home Win
54%
+1.2pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.5pp
25%
Away Win
25%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto U19 The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela U19 The Market 28%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
7.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +42%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto U19
4-3
AWAY Vizela U19
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Porto U19 vs Vizela U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto U19 nicked a narrow win over Vizela U19 4-3. It was 2-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Porto U19 as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Porto U19 had 53% of the ball to Vizela U19's 47%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Porto U19 vs Vizela U19?

Porto U19 4-3 Vizela U19 in the Portugal - Youth U19 on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto U19 vs Vizela U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Porto U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Porto U19 56%, draw 19%, Vizela U19 25%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Porto U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →