Ergene Velimeşe 1-2 Turgutluspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.08
Draw
28%
4.95
Away
50%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
28%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
17%
+11.6pp
50%
Away Win
55%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ergene Velimeşe EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Turgutluspor EU Bookmakers 60%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.67/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.55
-49% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +83%
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 9
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ergene Velimeşe
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Turgutluspor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.09.2023 Turgutluspor Turgutluspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Ergene Velimeşe Ergene Velimeşe S3-2
16.04.2023 Turgutluspor Turgutluspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Ergene Velimeşe Ergene Velimeşe S3-2
19.11.2022 Ergene Velimeşe Ergene Velimeşe 0-1 HT 0-1 Turgutluspor Turgutluspor S3-2
27.11.2021 Ergene Velimeşe Ergene Velimeşe 1-2 HT 1-0 Turgutluspor Turgutluspor S2-K
18.02.2018 Turgutluspor Turgutluspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Ergene Velimeşe Ergene Velimeşe S3-2
01.10.2017 Ergene Velimeşe Ergene Velimeşe 0-1 HT 0-0 Turgutluspor Turgutluspor S3-2
POST-MATCH Ergene Velimeşe vs Turgutluspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turgutluspor squeezed past Ergene Velimeşe 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Turgutluspor as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Turgutluspor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ergene Velimeşe and 1.33 for Turgutluspor.

What was the final score of Ergene Velimeşe vs Turgutluspor?

Ergene Velimeşe 1-2 Turgutluspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ergene Velimeşe vs Turgutluspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Turgutluspor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ergene Velimeşe 22%, draw 28%, Turgutluspor 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Turgutluspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Turgutluspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
S3-2 More Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup
21 Jan 2024
14:00 Kelkit Hürriyet SK vs Hacettepe 1945 Analysis →
14:00 Anadolu Üniversitesi vs Sapanca Gençlikspor Analysis →
14:00 Efeler 09 Spor vs Bulvarspor Analysis →
14:00 Karşıyaka vs Amber Çay Eynesil Bld. Analysis →
14:00 Elazığspor vs Amasyaspor Futbol Kulübü Analysis →
14:00 Erciyes 38 FSK vs Tarsus İdman Yurdu Analysis →