Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1-0 Nevşehir Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.8pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.9pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokat Bld Plevnespor EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Nevşehir Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 31%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.24/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/2.00
-14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
POST-MATCH Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Nevşehir Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokat Bld Plevnespor nicked a narrow win over Nevşehir Belediyespor 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tokat Bld Plevnespor as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Nevşehir Belediyespor?

Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1-0 Nevşehir Belediyespor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Nevşehir Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokat Bld Plevnespor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tokat Bld Plevnespor 44%, draw 27%, Nevşehir Belediyespor 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokat Bld Plevnespor), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tokat Bld Plevnespor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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