21/01/2025
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
Rochdale vs Stoke City U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over Pick
58%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
46%
4-5
26%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
40%
Home Win
57%
23%
Draw
21%
37%
Away Win
23%
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
43%
BTTS No
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rochdale v Stoke City U21 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Rochdale
The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Stoke City U21
The Market 26%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-33% /
-33%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-39%
/
-64%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
4
384 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
283 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Rochdale vs Stoke City U21 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Rochdale
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Stoke City U21
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
74%
Ball Possession
26%
16
Total Shots
4
6
Shots on Target
0
13
Corners
1
452
Passes
108
84%
Pass Accuracy
56%
33
Crosses
8
1
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Rochdale vs Stoke City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Rochdale beat Stoke City U21 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Rochdale found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Rochdale vs Stoke City U21?
Rochdale 2-0 Stoke City U21 in the İULK on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Stoke City U21?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 40%, draw 23%, Stoke City U21 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rochdale) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Rochdale)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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21 Jan 2025