Galatasaray 3-3 Dynamo Kiev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 21 Jan 2025

📅21/01/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.22
Draw
22%
6.26
Away
21%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
3.14
Over
57%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.74
No
52%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
21%
7.36
2-3
42%
2.25
4-5
25%
2.35
6+
12%
4.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.34
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
23.4
X/1
15%
4.0
X/2
7%
24.3
X/X
8%
10.95
2/1
7%
19.1
2/2
7%
19.15
2/X
7%
27.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Galatasaray win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
57%
Home Win
78%
-20.1pp
22%
Draw
13%
+8.9pp
21%
Away Win
9%
+11.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
28%
+15.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
72%
-15.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galatasaray The Market 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Kiev The Market 12%
-14% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
3.34/2.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/2.20
+57% / -76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
468 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.9
26.0 Crosses 9.7
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
3-3
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
3.34 xG 0.84
48% Ball Possession 52%
24 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
337 Passes 367
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 22
31 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Galatasaray vs Dynamo Kiev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray and Dynamo Kiev couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Galatasaray at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Galatasaray had 48% of the ball to Dynamo Kiev's 52%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 3.34 to 0.84.

What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Dynamo Kiev?

Galatasaray 3-3 Dynamo Kiev in the UEFA Europa League on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs Dynamo Kiev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 57%, draw 22%, Dynamo Kiev 21%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Galatasaray), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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