Western United (K) 4-1 Perth Glory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 21 Jan 2025

📅21/01/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.15
Over Pick
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
41%
4-5
28%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.2pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.0pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western United (K) The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory (K) The Market 25%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.30/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.48
+42% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +52%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
23.5 Crosses 12.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western United (K)
4-1
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
1.79 xG 1.06
57% Ball Possession 43%
24 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 7
247 Passes 163
69% Pass Accuracy 61%
37 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Western United (K) vs Perth Glory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western United (K) cruised past Perth Glory (K) 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Western United (K) as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Western United (K) had 57% of the ball to Perth Glory (K)'s 43%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 1.79 to 1.06.

What was the final score of Western United (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Western United (K) 4-1 Perth Glory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western United (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Western United (K) 52%, draw 20%, Perth Glory (K) 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western United (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Western United (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →