Tractor FC 5-1 Mes Rafsanjan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 21 Jan 2025

Tractor FC
5-1 HT 2-0
Mes Rafsanjan
📅21/01/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League – 2024/2025

Tractor FC vs Mes Rafsanjan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.56
Over 2.5
33%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.75
No
66%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
44%
2.25
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
14%
4.81
6+ Goals
6%
28.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.25 — our 44% vs market 36.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.4pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.4pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
60%
+7.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
40%
-7.3pp
34%
BTTS Yes
32%
+1.8pp
66%
BTTS No
68%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tractor FC v Mes Rafsanjan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tractor FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.50/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.66
-1% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -11%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
397 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Tractor FC vs Mes Rafsanjan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tractor FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
7 Corners 3
The Meetings
16.08.2024 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-2 HT 0-2 Tractor FC Tractor FC IRAN
08.03.2024 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 HT 0-0 Tractor FC Tractor FC IRAN
28.08.2023 Tractor FC Tractor FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
11.03.2023 Tractor FC Tractor FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
07.10.2022 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 1-0 HT 1-0 Tractor FC Tractor FC IRAN
03.04.2022 Tractor FC Tractor FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
POST-MATCH Tractor FC vs Mes Rafsanjan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tractor FC swept aside Mes Rafsanjan 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tractor FC as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tractor FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tractor FC and 0.50 for Mes Rafsanjan.

What was the final score of Tractor FC vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Tractor FC 5-1 Mes Rafsanjan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tractor FC vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tractor FC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Tractor FC 58%, draw 22%, Mes Rafsanjan 20%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tractor FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tractor FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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