21/01/2025
·
15:50
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Al Tai vs Al Najma Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
40%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Under 2.5
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
43%
Home Win
49%
26%
Draw
26%
31%
Away Win
26%
57%
Under 2.5
48%
43%
Over 2.5
52%
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
56%
BTTS No
46%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Tai v Al Najma — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Tai
The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Najma
The Market 29%
+11% /
+11%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+15% /
+15%
1.51/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.98/1.52
+5%
/
-3%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+103%
/
-18%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
317 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
300 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.5
Yellow Cards
2.2
Al Tai vs Al Najma Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Al Tai
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Al Najma
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
46%
Ball Possession
54%
3
Total Shots
11
0
Shots on Target
6
3
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Al Tai vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Najma cruised past Al Tai 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Al Tai at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.
What was the final score of Al Tai vs Al Najma?
Al Tai 0-3 Al Najma in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 21/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Tai vs Al Najma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Tai win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Tai 43%, draw 26%, Al Najma 31%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Tai), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al Tai)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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21 Jan 2025