Havadar 0-1 Mes Soongoun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 21 Jan 2026

📅21/01/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
16%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-3.2pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.3pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havadar EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Soongoun EU Bookmakers 21%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.35/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.62
-12% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -35%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havadar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mes Soongoun
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
28.08.2025 Mes Soongoun Mes Soongoun 0-3 Havadar Havadar IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Havadar vs Mes Soongoun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Soongoun nicked a narrow win over Havadar 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Havadar at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Havadar vs Mes Soongoun?

Havadar 0-1 Mes Soongoun in the Iran - Azadegan League on 21/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havadar vs Mes Soongoun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Havadar win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Havadar 56%, draw 19%, Mes Soongoun 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Havadar), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Havadar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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