Al Muaidar 4-1 Al Mesaimeer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 21 Jan 2026

Al Muaidar
4-1 HT 2-1
Al Mesaimeer
📅21/01/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup – 2025/2026

Al Muaidar vs Al Mesaimeer Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%
1.56
No
29%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
4.07
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
47%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
2.9
6+ Goals
13%
8.71
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.84 — our 47% vs market 46.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-10.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-3.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+3.1pp
71%
BTTS Yes
60%
+10.7pp
29%
BTTS No
40%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Muaidar v Al Mesaimeer — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Muaidar EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mesaimeer EU Bookmakers 30%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-12% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Al Muaidar vs Al Mesaimeer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Muaidar swept aside Al Mesaimeer 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Al Muaidar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (71%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Al Muaidar vs Al Mesaimeer?

Al Muaidar 4-1 Al Mesaimeer in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 21/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Muaidar vs Al Mesaimeer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Muaidar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Muaidar 38%, draw 30%, Al Mesaimeer 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Muaidar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Muaidar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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