Viktoria Köln 2-5 Saarbrücken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 21 Feb 2024

Viktoria Köln
2-5 HT 0-1
Saarbrücken
📅21/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Viktoria Köln vs Saarbrücken Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.58
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.8
1/2 EV+ ✗
16%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
13%
6.76
X/2
15%
4.75
X/X
7%
4.72
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
14%
2.93
2/X
9%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 16% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-5.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Viktoria Köln v Saarbrücken — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 54%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.14/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.29/0.66
-1% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +65%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
265 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
12.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
14.1 Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.4

Viktoria Köln vs Saarbrücken Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Köln
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Saarbrücken
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-2 HT 1-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
20.01.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 0-2 HT 0-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
19.02.2022 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 0-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
11.09.2021 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 0-0 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
19.03.2021 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-3 HT 1-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
13.11.2020 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 0-2 HT 0-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3

Viktoria Köln 2-5 Saarbrücken — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Köln
2-5
AWAY Saarbrücken
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Viktoria Köln vs Saarbrücken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saarbrücken swept aside Viktoria Köln 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Saarbrücken as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Viktoria Köln had 54% of the ball to Saarbrücken's 46%, shots finished 7-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Köln had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Viktoria Köln and 1.17 for Saarbrücken.

What was the final score of Viktoria Köln vs Saarbrücken?

Viktoria Köln 2-5 Saarbrücken in the Germany - 3rd Division on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Köln vs Saarbrücken?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Köln 32%, draw 24%, Saarbrücken 44%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saarbrücken), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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