Chemie Leipzig 1-1 Luckenwalde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Feb 2024

Chemie Leipzig
1-1 HT 1-1
Luckenwalde
📅21/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
43%
-9.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.2pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chemie Leipzig v Luckenwalde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.36/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.34
-21% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.6

Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemie Leipzig
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Luckenwalde
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.02.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-2 HT 0-2 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
19.08.2022 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-2 HT 2-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
05.03.2022 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 5-3 HT 2-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
31.08.2021 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-2 HT 1-2 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
03.10.2020 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 2-0 HT 2-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL

Chemie Leipzig 1-1 Luckenwalde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chemie Leipzig
1-1
AWAY Luckenwalde
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemie Leipzig and Luckenwalde couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chemie Leipzig had 49% of the ball to Luckenwalde's 51%, shots finished 7-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Luckenwalde led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Chemie Leipzig and 2.20 for Luckenwalde.

What was the final score of Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?

Chemie Leipzig 1-1 Luckenwalde in the Germany - Regional League on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?

Before kick-off our model rated an Luckenwalde win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chemie Leipzig 33%, draw 30%, Luckenwalde 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Luckenwalde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luckenwalde) ✓ BTTS Yes
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