Argentino Merlo 3-0 Sacachispas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Primier B Metropol, 21 Feb 2024

📅21/02/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.4
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
55%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
38%
4-5
27%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
23%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
23%
Home Win
16%
+7.4pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.6pp
55%
Away Win
63%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Argentino Merlo The Market 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Sacachispas The Market 67%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
210 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 464 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Argentino Merlo vs Sacachispas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Argentino Merlo swept aside Sacachispas 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sacachispas at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Argentino Merlo vs Sacachispas?

Argentino Merlo 3-0 Sacachispas in the Argentina - Primier B Metropol on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Argentino Merlo vs Sacachispas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sacachispas win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Argentino Merlo 23%, draw 22%, Sacachispas 55%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sacachispas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sacachispas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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