21/02/2024
·
19:01
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-2
Al Tadamun Buri vs Malkiya Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
32%
Draw
23%
38%
Away Win
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Tadamun Buri v Malkiya — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Tadamun Buri
EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY
Malkiya
EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
45%
Ball Possession
55%
10
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
6
292 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
396 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Tadamun Buri vs Malkiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Malkiya beat Al Tadamun Buri 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (31% / 32% / 38%) promised a tight game; Malkiya found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Al Tadamun Buri vs Malkiya?
Al Tadamun Buri 0-2 Malkiya in the Bahrain - 2nd Division on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Tadamun Buri vs Malkiya?
Before kick-off our model rated an Malkiya win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Tadamun Buri 31%, draw 32%, Malkiya 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malkiya), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Malkiya)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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