Universitario de Vinto 1-0 Guabira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 21 Feb 2024

📅21/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Guabira EU Bookmakers 20%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -21%
1.69/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.64
-46% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
20.0 Crosses 17.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario de Vinto
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Guabira
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.72 xG 0.56
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
262 Passes 304
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
05.06.2023 Guabira Guabira 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
12.10.2022 Guabira Guabira 1-0 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario de Vinto
1-0
AWAY Guabira
1.06 xG 0.58
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
283 Passes 258
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Universitario de Vinto vs Guabira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario de Vinto squeezed past Guabira 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Universitario de Vinto as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Universitario de Vinto had 52% of the ball to Guabira's 48%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.06 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Guabira led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Universitario de Vinto and 0.67 for Guabira.

What was the final score of Universitario de Vinto vs Guabira?

Universitario de Vinto 1-0 Guabira in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario de Vinto vs Guabira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario de Vinto win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Universitario de Vinto 53%, draw 25%, Guabira 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario de Vinto), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BOLİ More Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme
21 Feb 2024
01:00 Real Tomayapo vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo Analysis →
03:00 The Strongest vs Santa Cruz Analysis →