21/02/2024
·
18:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
KOZAF vs Forces Armees Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
44%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
36%
Home Win
42%
26%
Draw
25%
38%
Away Win
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
KOZAF v Forces Armees — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
KOZAF
The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Forces Armees
The Market 37%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
4
350 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
337 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
KOZAF vs Forces Armees
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Forces Armees nicked a narrow win over KOZAF 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Forces Armees found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of KOZAF vs Forces Armees?
KOZAF 0-1 Forces Armees in the Burkina Moroccoo - 1st Division on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for KOZAF vs Forces Armees?
Before kick-off our model rated an Forces Armees win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split KOZAF 36%, draw 26%, Forces Armees 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forces Armees), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Forces Armees)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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BURK
More Burkina Moroccoo - 1st Division
21 Feb 2024