Le Messager Ngozi 1-2 Rukinzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Burundi - League A, 21 Feb 2024

📅21/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Messager Ngozi EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Rukinzo EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Le Messager Ngozi vs Rukinzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rukinzo squeezed past Le Messager Ngozi 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Le Messager Ngozi at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Le Messager Ngozi vs Rukinzo?

Le Messager Ngozi 1-2 Rukinzo in the Burundi - League A on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Messager Ngozi vs Rukinzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Messager Ngozi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Le Messager Ngozi 41%, draw 29%, Rukinzo 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Le Messager Ngozi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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