University Of Pretoria 1-0 Ajax Cape Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 21 Feb 2024

📅21/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.51
Over
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
41%
4-5
19%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME University Of Pretoria The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax Cape Town The Market 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
269 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME University Of Pretoria
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Ajax Cape Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
14.09.2022 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria 3-2 HT 3-0 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town GAF1
08.05.2022 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town 2-2 HT 1-2 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria GAF1
17.04.2015 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town 2-0 HT 0-0 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria GAFPSL
05.11.2014 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria 3-0 HT 2-0 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town GAFPSL
POST-MATCH University Of Pretoria vs Ajax Cape Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

University Of Pretoria nicked a narrow win over Ajax Cape Town 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had University Of Pretoria as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, University Of Pretoria had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for University Of Pretoria and 1.50 for Ajax Cape Town.

What was the final score of University Of Pretoria vs Ajax Cape Town?

University Of Pretoria 1-0 Ajax Cape Town in the South Afrika - Cup on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for University Of Pretoria vs Ajax Cape Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a University Of Pretoria win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split University Of Pretoria 43%, draw 27%, Ajax Cape Town 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (University Of Pretoria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (University Of Pretoria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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