FC Goa 0-2 NorthEast United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 21 Feb 2024

FC Goa
0-2 HT 0-0
NorthEast United
📅21/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
India - Super League – 2023/2024

FC Goa vs NorthEast United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.32
2-3 Goals
34%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.97
6+ Goals
12%
8.96
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.32 — our 29% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
63%
-14.1pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.7pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Goa v NorthEast United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Goa EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY NorthEast United EU Bookmakers 20%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.20/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.60
-48% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
28.4 Crosses 17.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

FC Goa vs NorthEast United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Goa
1W-4D-1L
AWAY NorthEast United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.65 xG 1.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
404 Passes 179
81% Pass Accuracy 64%
24 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.12.2023 NorthEast United NorthEast United 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
15.01.2023 NorthEast United NorthEast United 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
17.12.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 2-1 HT 2-0 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
14.01.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 1-1 HT 1-1 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
04.12.2021 NorthEast United NorthEast United 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
04.02.2021 NorthEast United NorthEast United 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL

FC Goa 0-2 NorthEast United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Goa
0-2
AWAY NorthEast United
1.28 xG 1.13
61% Ball Possession 39%
24 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
298 Passes 160
74% Pass Accuracy 60%
29 Box Touches 12
37 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Goa vs NorthEast United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NorthEast United got the better of FC Goa 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Goa at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FC Goa had 61% of the ball to NorthEast United's 39%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 1.28 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Goa and 1.50 for NorthEast United.

What was the final score of FC Goa vs NorthEast United?

FC Goa 0-2 NorthEast United in the India - Super League on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Goa vs NorthEast United?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Goa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Goa 48%, draw 28%, NorthEast United 24%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Goa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Goa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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