Osijek U19 3-2 Varazdin U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL Youth, 21 Feb 2024

📅21/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
38%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
Over
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
41%
2-3
33%
4-5
19%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
44%
-8.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
38%
Away Win
28%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osijek U19 The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Varazdin U19 The Market 32%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+49% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
442 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Osijek U19 vs Varazdin U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osijek U19 edged past Varazdin U19 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Osijek U19 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Osijek U19 vs Varazdin U19?

Osijek U19 3-2 Varazdin U19 in the Croatia - 1. HNL Youth on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osijek U19 vs Varazdin U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Varazdin U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Osijek U19 35%, draw 26%, Varazdin U19 38%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Varazdin U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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