North District 0-1 Kitchee — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Sapling Cup, 21 Feb 2024

📅21/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
52%
-16.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
38%
Away Win
21%
+16.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North District EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kitchee EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -50%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North District
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kitchee
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
03.12.2023 North District North District 2-3 HT 0-3 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME North District
0-1
AWAY Kitchee
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH North District vs Kitchee
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitchee squeezed past North District 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Kitchee found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, North District had 47% of the ball to Kitchee's 53%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of North District vs Kitchee?

North District 0-1 Kitchee in the Hong Kong - Sapling Cup on 21/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North District vs Kitchee?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kitchee win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split North District 36%, draw 26%, Kitchee 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kitchee), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kitchee) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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